Jo Jorgensen Vegas Election Odds 2020
Libertarian Candidate For President
November 4 Update: Jo Jorgensen was selected as the LP candidate despite not being the most popular candidate of the Libertarian Party primaries. This seems to have been intentional, reducing the impact of the LP in what the conservative offshoot predicted would be a close race for Trump. In the end, Jorgensen earned about 1.1% of the national popular vote, though her candidacy does seem to have swung the outcomes in several close state races. You can still bet on the results in several of these states as many votes are still being counted.
Jo Jorgensen is the 2020 Libertarian Presidential candidate, joining Donald Trump and Joe Biden on the ballots in all 50 US states. However, if you’re looking for Jo Jorgensen or other Libertarian election odds for 2020, you are unlikely to find many, as the Libertarian Party is not competitive and no LP candidate has ever come close to winning an election for any federal government post.
It is highly unlikely that Jorgensen will do well in any state for the 2020 Presidential race, but she could absolutely play spoiler in a battleground state or three. Libertarian candidates are often viewed as spoilers for Republicans, and this is the overarching context of the 2020 Jorgensen campaign.
However, regardless of Jorgensen’s chances, and regardless of whether or not you will see her in any meaningful capacity on any odds boards between now and November, it’s important to keep Jorgensen in mind, as this spoiler role could affect how you should bet on certain swing states. In general, Jo’s chances should be factored into the other Joe’s chances, as she could boost Joe Biden’s odds to win the White House when all is said and done.
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Jo Jorgensen Election Odds
Jo Jorgensen election odds are few and far between, primarily because no third-party candidate has ever come close to winning a Presidential election. So far, we've only seen her on the odds boards at a site or two, and she has the worst odds to win the November general election out of any featured candidate – even those not officially running for office!
Third-party candidates simply do not fare well at the federal level, with only a few states sending such reps to the US House of Representatives or the US Senate. They tend to do better at the local level, but even there, it’s always an uphill battle.
Notable third-party politicians at the federal level include people like Bernie Sanders (Independent) and Rand Paul (Libertarian/Republican). Sanders was rejected as a Democratic Presidential candidate in 2016 and 2020, while Paul was bounced from the Republican Presidential primaries in 2016.
Joe Jorgensen Bio – Who Is Jo Jorgensen?
Libertarian Joanne Marie Jorgensen was born on May 1, 1957, in the appropriately named Libertyville, Illinois. She is a career political outsider, running as the Libertarian Party Vice Presidential Candidate in the 1996 Presidential election.
Before that, in 1992, Jorgensen was the Libertarian nominee for South Carolina’s 4th congressional district, receiving 2.2 percent of the popular vote. Now, in 2020, Jorgensen has become the first-ever female Libertarian Presidential candidate.
Educated at Baylor University, Jorgensen earned a BS in Psychology (1979) before receiving her MBA from Southern Methodist University. Following a long stint with IBM, she then earned her doctorate from Clemson in Industrial and Organized Psychology (2002). The 63-year-old Jorgensen remains a full-time Senior Lecturer in Psychology at Clemson, is married with two daughters, and has a grandson.
Jo Jorgensen Policies
When it comes to Jo Jorgensen’s views politically, she is a rank and file Libertarian, if there is such a thing. The following issues represent the foundations of Jorgensen’s views on politics and economics, and they make up the brunt of what she brings to the table in 2020.
If you’re interested in the Jo Jorgensen platform – and how her views may bleed votes from either side of the aisle – this short overview should help inform your Vegas political bets:
- Supports a free-market healthcare system
- Opposes single-player healthcare (aka Medicare For All)
- Advocates changing the current Social Security system – which she calls a Ponzi Scheme – to one that manages individualized retirement accounts
- Opposes qualified immunity for government
- Supports property rights
- Opposes civil asset forfeiture
- Opposes the War on Drugs
- Opposes the militarization of police
- Opposes international trade embargoes
- Opposes trade tariffs
- Opposes international economic sanctions
- Supports troop withdrawal and non-interventionism
- Opposes closed borders
- Opposes draconian COVID-19 lockdowns and quarantines
- Opposes new gun control legislation
In all of the above ways, Jorgensen’s views are fairly standard for the party, taking far-right positions in the US political spectrum. However, she aligns with the radical left on the issue of border security, which may alienate voters.
Jorgensen also seems to have conflicting ideals when it comes to border security and foreign interventionism, as her platform appears to also eschew domestic interventionism, which is a chief duty of government in general.
With Jo Jorgensen, guns are also a campaign tentpole, as she opposes further restrictions and also opposes legislation to allow victims of gun violence to sue gun manufacturers. However, she is not for loosening existing unconstitutional restrictions, and thus polls badly with single-issue firearms rights voters.
Jo Jorgensen Polls
Jo Jorgensen does not poll well in any state, at least in terms of assessing her actual 2020 Vegas election odds. Again, the Jo Jorgensen 2020 polls aren’t going to help you gauge her chances to win (because she has no chance to win), they’re going to help you assess her chances of affecting the outcome of the general election in November re Donald Trump and Joe Biden.
The common calculus is that she will have a negative effect on Donald Trump’s reelection odds simply because the Libertarian Party aligns more with the GOP than the Democrats and will siphon more votes from the former than from the latter.
Currently, major Presidential polling outlets have the following numbers for Jorgensen support:
- CNBC – 3%
- FiveThirtyEight – 2%
- JTN/RMG – 2%
- Rasmussen – 2%
- RealClearPolitics – 1.8%
- Monmouth – 1%
- PredictIt – 1%
- USA Today – 1%