Donald Trump’s Presidential Impeachment Odds

When it comes to political betting, it's more than just who wins and who loses elections. Wagers can be made on political prop bets like how many times a candidate will say a specific word, how active Twitter might be during a debate, whether the current president will be impeached, and so on.

As President Donald Trump just faced impeachment (Dec. 2019-Feb. 2020), many online sportsbooks offered betting odds on the possibility he would be removed from office. Since impeachment can be a long process with multiple steps, bettors have plenty of chances to capitalize monetarily on the proceedings whenever they arise. And since such proceedings are primed to arise many more times (perhaps even for Trump himself, particularly if he wins re-election and the Democrats keep the House of Representatives), you can expect impeachment odds to be a semi-regular thing going forward. Decorum, once lost, is gone forever, as the poet says.

Impeachment probabilities can also affect other prop bets and betting lines, such as odds for which party will control the White House after the upcoming 2020 election, or in the case of the current administration, whether or not Republicans remain in control.

Is betting on Donald Trump’s Vegas impeachment odds legal?

There are no federal laws that make it a crime to place bets on a Presidential impeachment. As long as the wagers are made through licensed offshore sites operating legitimately within the industry, the bets are legal. Bettors can also put money on Presidential resignation odds, Donald Trump's 2020 election odds, matchup odds and a variety of other related political prop bets.

Unfortunately, since political betting is such a new field, no domestic sportsbooks offer action on impeachments, even in Vegas. However, Vegas oddsmakers still set impeachment lines as advertising-friendly hypotheticals to get bettors interested in gambling, though only overseas books can post real-money impeachment odds and prop bets for the ordeal.

It should be noted that Washington and Connecticut prohibit all forms of online gambling, though these laws are historically unenforced (so you are free to sign up and wager at your own risk).

Best sportsbooks for betting on Trump’s impeachment

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How to bet on Presidential impeachment odds

Betting on the impeachment is no different than betting on any other Vegas election odds. Domestically, gamblers can't wager at any in-state books, as players are required to do so at offshore sportsbooks. Fortunately, it is a simple process to get started.

To bet on impeachment, an account must first be made at your preferred book, then verified and funded to be used. This takes only a few minutes, especially if you deposit using Bitcoin or credit/debit. Once your account is ready, impeachment betting odds can usually be found under the “Political” tab at online books. Impeachment odds might also be listed in the “Specials” section or "Entertainment" section of your betting site of choice. After finding these bets, placing a real-money wager is just a couple of clicks away.

Each of the online sportsbooks listed on this page features a number of security protocols to ensure player safety. Not only does every book here employ SSL/TLS data encryption, 24/7 customer support, and cryptocurrency options to create a safe environment for all bettors, each one is licensed to guarantee its legality.

What are Trump’s impeachment odds?

Each sportsbook sets its own odds, so the chances that Trump is impeached (again!) may differ between oddsmakers. The following is a list of current impeachment odds from multiple different books:

Will Donald Trump Be Impeached Again?

  • TBA

What caused the 2019 impeachment inquiry into Trump?

While Robert Mueller’s investigation into Trump’s alleged collusion with Russia during the 2016 election, the subsequent Mueller Report, and his testimony all played a role in the eventual impeachment inquiry, the pivotal moment was the so-called Ukrainian scandal.

What happened with the Trump Ukraine scandal?

Following Mueller’s testimony on July 24, House Democrats did not file impeachment proceedings. However, the next day on July 25, Trump and Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky shared a phone call to discuss various issues, with Joe and Hunter Biden's involvement in the firing of a Ukrainian prosecutor investigating Burisma Holdings Limited, the discredited Ukrainian petrochemical company.

According to a White House "whistleblower" formal complaint, Trump threatened to withhold military aid from Ukraine unless the country investigated the Biden family and their dealings in Ukraine. The transcript of the call, released by Trump, did not demonstrate this. However,  the Democrats in the House quickly changed the narrative to implied rather than explicit statements of record. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced a formal impeachment inquiry on September 24.

Aside from the original "whistleblower," more whistleblowers were ready to come forward, according to their legal teams. This did not happen, and Trump sailed through impeachment without any negative impact to his polling or re-election aspirations.

Who drove the impeachment against Trump?

Officially, the inquiry was launched by Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, so she was one of the biggest driving forces behind the proceedings. It should be noted, however, that Pelosi did not favor an impeachment inquiry prior to the "whistleblower’s" complaint.

The following list features some of the most prominent impeachment supporters:

  • House Speaker Nancy Pelosi
  • Rashida Tlaib (member of “The Squad” and target of Trump criticisms)
  • Democratic candidate Tom Seyer (founder of Need to Impeach)
  • Elizabeth Warren (favored impeachment prior to Ukraine scandal)
  • Tulsi Gabbard (did not favor impeachment prior to Ukrainian scandal, and did not vote to impeach Trump)
  • Justin Amash (former Republican, now the only Independent in the House of Representatives)
  • Al Green (called for impeachment in 2017)
  • Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (Republican)

2019-2020 Trump impeachment and Senate trial outcome

Impeachment (House Resolution 755)

On December 18, 2019, Donald J. Trump was formally impeached by US House of Representatives on two broad and unspecific charges: Abuse of Power and Obstruction of Congress.

  • Article I: Abuse of Power
    • Democrats: 229 for, 2 against, 1 present, 1 not voting
    • Republicans: 0 for, 195 against, 2 not voting
    • Independents: 1 for, 0 against
  • Article II: Obstruction of Congress
    • Democrats: 228 for, 3 against, 1 present, 1 not voting
    • Republicans: 0 for, 195 against, 2 not voting
    • Independents: 1 for, 0 against

Senate Trial Results

On February 5, 2020, Trump was acquitted easily on both counts, with the Democrats failing to come remotely close to the 67-vote threshold in the Senate needed to convict.

  • Article I: Abuse of Power
    • Democrats: 45 for, 0 against
    • Republicans: 1 for, 52 against
    • Independents: 2 for, 0 against
  • Article II: Obstruction of Congress
    • Democrats: 45 for, 0 against
    • Republicans: 0 for, 53 against
    • Independents: 2 for, 0 against

Mitt Romney, the Utah Republican from Massachusetts and former 2016 Trump GOP rival, voted to convict the President on Abuse of Power charges. Romney is the only person in history to vote against a member of the same party in an impeachment trial. It remains to be seen how this will affect his future in UT politics.

How does impeachment work?

Impeachment proceedings include a couple of key steps that must be followed by Congress to legally remove a president.

  • First, if the House Judiciary Committee investigation’s findings are sufficient, they recommend articles of impeachment to the House.
  • Next, the House holds a vote on the article of impeachment. If the majority of the House votes in favor of impeachment, the President is impeached but not immediately removed from office.
  • Following impeachment, the Senate holds a trial based on the articles of impeachment. If two-thirds of the Senate votes to convict the president (i.e. at least 67 out of 100 Senators), then he is removed from office.

Impeachment process

What other presidents have been impeached?

Before Trump, only two former presidents have ever been impeached, although a third narrowly avoided impeachment by resigning.

Andrew Johnson was impeached in 1868 primarily due to his violation do the Tenure of Office Act. After his impeachment, Johnson was cleared of all charges during his trial and remained in office. In 1998, Bill Clinton was charged with perjury and obstruction of justice. Like Johnson, Clinton was acquitted and remained in office. In December 2019, Donald Trump was impeached, but after a six week process, the Senate found him not guilty and he was acquitted. In Trump's case, impeachment has had a positive effect on both his polling and re-election odds.

Impeachment proceedings were also brought against Richard Nixon related to his involvement in the Watergate Scandal, but he stepped down as president in 1974 before he could be convicted of obstruction of justice, abuse of power, and contempt of Congress.

Presidential Impeachment FAQs