2020 Vegas US Supreme Court Odds

Supreme Court Seal

Supreme Court decisions are often the subject of Vegas political betting lines, particularly when Supreme Court cases are heard on hot-button issues that constitute a pillar of either the Democrat Party or Republican Party.

Because Supreme Court judges are appointed by the President and confirmed by the US Senate, these positions – while allegedly apolitical and objective – are anything but. This gives fans of politics betting a decided edge when putting money on SCOTUS odds, as the nation’s highest court almost always votes along party lines on any given subject.

To learn more about the SCOTUS and the action available for 2020 Vegas US Supreme Court odds, our brief guide about the institution, its function, and its membership should help you place those winning wagers.

Is It Legal To Bet On Supreme Court Odds?

Yes, you can legally wager on Supreme Court rulings and various other props at legal online Vegas election betting sites. Indeed, in 2018, the Supreme Court ruled to overturn the ban on US sports betting, leading to massive growth in the domestic betting industry.

Ironically, no state allows local political betting despite the PASPA ruling, so bettors will have to place their election bets online at any of the top Vegas political sportsbooks listed here.

There are no federal restrictions preventing you from doing so, and these sites offer the only ways to legally bet on the Supreme Court, political props, Presidential debate props, and other election-related action.

Best Online Sportsbooks With Supreme Court Betting Odds

 SiteBonusRating/5USAVisit
1Bovada50% Max $2504.5Visit Review
2Betonline50% Max $1,0004.4Visit Review
3Mybookie.ag100% Max $1,0004.4VisitReview
3Sportsbetting.ag75% Max $1,0004.1Visit Review

In Memoriam: Ruth Bader Ginsburg (1933-2020)

Ruth Bader GinsburgJustice Ruth Bader Ginsburg (often misspelled as Ruth Bader Ginsberg) passed away on Friday, September 18, 2020, after a protracted battle with pancreatic cancer. She was 83.

Ginsburg was the second-ever woman to serve on the US Supreme Court. Appointed by President Bill Clinton in 1993, Ginsburg – often called “The Notorious RBG” by Hollywood and her adoring media – served as an Associate Justice for her entire 27-year career on the bench. Ginsburg was considered a moderate at the time of her nomination and confirmation, but she gradually shifted to the left and was a notable progressive and feminist icon by the time of her passing.

There is currently a Trump administration push to replace Ginsburg with a conservative judge on the Supreme Court before the end of the year, and possibly before the election itself. Given the fact that state electoral odds (and plenty of national polling) suggest that there will be many contested outcomes in the aftermath of the 2020 Presidential election, it seems imperative that the US’ highest court has all nine justices ready to rule on any election-related disputes.

Ginsburg herself was recently the favorite to pass away first among current SCOTUS Justices, which was a Vegas political prop that many election betting sites hosted in recent months.

Update: On Saturday, September 26, 2020, federal judge Amy Coney Barrett was chosen by President Trump to replace Ginsburg, though she has yet to be confirmed by the Senate.

Betting Odds On Who Will Replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg

While neither President Trump nor Joe Biden released their proposed lists of Supreme Court nominees to replace RBG on the bench, Trump did eventually nominate Amy Coney Barret, who currently serves as a Circuit Judge for the US Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit.

Barrett, the betting favorite, had previously interviewed with Trump during 2018, when the President indicated to her that she would be one of his top choices to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg (though this was not known to the public beforehand). Waiting for that opportunity was a yuge gamble by Trump, and it appears to have paid off, just as Barrett's betting lines did for all those who took her at the top of the list.

Before Trump made his Justice selection, the following Supreme Court candidates were worth keeping an eye on. As a result, Vegas election sportsbooks posted odds on these individuals to get the SCOTUS nomination, but you had to act fast. (The odds below are no longer live, but they remain posted here for reference.)

2020 US Supreme Court Betting Odds

via Bovada

Note: These first set of odds listed here are no longer live, as Amy Coney Barrett was the eventual nominee. These lines remain posted for historical reference, showing that bettors overwhelmingly chose correctly.

Odds

How Many Yea Votes Will Amy Coney Barrett Receive In Her Confirmation Vote?

  • 51 -120
  • 52 +300
  • 53 +800
  • 50 +1000
  • 49 Or Fewer +1200
  • 55 +1300
  • 54 +1500

Next Supreme Court Justice Confirmation Date

  • Before November 4th, 2020 -3000
  • After November 4th, 2020 +900

Who Are The Potential Supreme Court Nominees?

BetOnline was the first to publish a selection of names for its SCOTUS odds boards. These were not the only potential candidates to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg in the Supreme Court, but they were viewed as the most likely bunch from which the nominee would emerge.

Going off of several lists compiled by the MSM before the President made his selection, the following individuals were the candidates widely believed to be in play for the Trump Supreme Court pick:

Amy Coney Barrett - WINNER

Amy Coney BarrettConsidered the front-runner for the vacant Supreme Court post, Amy Vivian Coney Barret, 48, is a member of the Federal Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit (assumed 2017). Formerly a professor of law at Notre Dame, the devout Catholic is a favorite in conservative circles and interviewed with Trump for the Supreme Court once before in 2018.

Update: Barrett was the eventual nominee, as Trump announced her candidacy to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Saturday, September 26, 2020, at 5:00 PM EST.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: -750


Barbara Lagoa

Barbara LagoaJudge Barbara Lagoa, 52, was the first Hispanic woman appointed to the Florida Supreme Court (2019), and she currently sits on the US Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit. As a minority and a conservative with a stellar professional record, Lagoa was featured heavily on the betting boards, right behind Barret. The smart money, once the odds are posted, will be on Lagoa.

Update: Apparently not!

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: +190


Joan Larsen

Joan LarsenJudge Joan Louise Larsen, 51, currently sits on the bench of the US Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, where she has held office since being appointed by Trump in 2017. From 2015-2017, she was an Associate Justice of the Michigan Supreme Court, and she has experience as a clerk and a professor at the University of Michigan School of Law. Larsen didn't ultimately get the nod, but she was more apt than most on this list to make the cut.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: +2000


Allison Rushing

Allison RushingAllison Blair Jones Rushing, 38, clerked for Judge Neil Gorsuch (US Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit) from 2007-2008, then for Judge David B. Sentelle (US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit) from 2008-2009. From 2010-2011, she was a clerk for Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas. In 2019, Rushing was appointed by Trump as a Judge of the United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit. Rushing doesn’t have remotely the experience to be the Supreme Court nominee or earn Senate confirmation to the post, and she was not chosen as the nominee.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: +2500


Britt Grant

Britt GrantBritt Grant, born Elizabeth Britt Cagle, is a 42-year-old jurist. From 2015-2017, she was the Solicitor General of Georgia. From 2017-2018, Grant served as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of Georgia. In late 2018, Grant then was appointed by President Trump to the United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit. While a rising star, Grant does not appear to have the judicial longevity necessary for easy confirmation to the Supreme Court. As a result, Grant was not selected for the post.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: +3300


Amul Thapar

Amul ThaparAmul Roger Thapar, 51, currently sits on the US Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit. As the first South Asian federal judge in US history, Thapar has some minority credo, but he is not a woman, which was a tactical prerequisite for the eventual nominee to be rushed through the process and avoid maximal media pushback.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: +4000


Thomas M. Hardiman

Thomas M. HardimanJudge Thomas M. Hardiman, 55, is currently on the United States Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit, where he was appointed by George W. Bush and has served since 2007. A lifelong professional jurist, Hardiman would be qualified under normal circumstances, but as with the other male SCOTUS candidates, confirmation would be too tumultuous for the timeline in play here. Hard luck, Hardiman!

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: +6600


Ted Cruz

Ted CruzWhile Trump floated the idea of nominating popular US Senator Ted Cruz (R, TX) to the Supreme Court, that was a non-starter. Plus, Cruz himself publicly stated that he’s not interested in the post and would rather continue to serve the Lone Star State in the US Senate. At just 49 years of age, he has plenty of career left ahead of him.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: +7500


Tom Cotton

Tom CottonRepublican Thomas Bryant Cotton, 43, is a current United States Senator from Arkansas. Cotton is considered the most powerful rising star in conservative US politics, and the military veteran will likely be a prominent name in American governance for years to come. His Supreme Court nomination potential, however, was nil, as Cotton’s career as a jurist is practically nonexistent save for a stint as a clerk on the US Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit back in 2002.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: +12500


Josh Hawley

Josh HawleyMissouri Senator Josh Hawley (R), 40, served as MO Attorney General from 2017-2019, and is the youngest US Senator. While he is extremely popular in conservative circles, there was virtually no chance he would get confirmed for the vacant Supreme Court seat. If he’s featured on any Vegas political odds boards for the post, you should take a hard pass on Hawley. He didn't get the nod, so we hope you did just that.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: TBA


Paul Clement

Paul ClementPaul Drew Clement, 54, is arguably qualified to be a Supreme Court Justice, as he’s spent his entire career in the legal industry, is a former US Solicitor General, and is the acting US Attorney General. However, as with the other male candidates listed here, his confirmation would have been drawn out and contentious, and he would not have attracted the necessary votes in the Senate. Clement was not nominated.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: TBA


Noel Francisco

Noel FranciscoFormer US Solicitor General (2017-2020) Noel John Francisco, 51, is a major Trump ally and defender. However, despite his minority status as an Asian American (Philippines), he wouldn't have garnered the necessary enthusiasm in the Senate as the Ginsburg replacement. While he clerked for former SCOTUS Justice Antonin Scalia, he simply doesn’t have the popular bona fides – or X chromosomes – needed for a fast-tracked selection in 2020.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: TBA


Raymond Kethledge

Raymond KethledgeRaymond Michael Kethledge, 53, has served as a US Circuit Judge on the Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit since 2008. As one of the only acting jurists on this list, he’s already more qualified than most. Trump considered Kethledge for a Supreme Court position, as he was a finalist to replace Anthony Kennedy in 2018. That position eventually went to Brett Kavanaugh in an extremely contentious confirmation process that must be avoided this time around.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: TBA


James Ho

James HoJames Chiun-Yue Hoe, 46/47, was born in Taiwan and earned his JD from the University of Chicago Law School (1999). Ho became the 4th Solicitor General of Texas (2008-2010) before becoming a judge on the US Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit. Ho was appointed to that position by President Trump, where he has been serving since 2018. Despite being a foreign-born minority, it was highly unlikely that Ho would be nominated for the US Supreme Court.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: TBA


William H. Pryor, Jr.

William H. Pryor, Jr.William Holcombe Pryor, Jr., 58, has the boldest and most qualified resume of any candidate on this list. He served as the 45th Attorney General of Alabama from 1997-2004, was a member of the US Sentencing Commission from 2013-2018, was a judge of the US Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit from 2004-2020, and is the current Chief Judge of the same (assumed 2020). Unfortunately, Pryor was not chosen as the pick, as the list ultimately came down to the two aforementioned favorites.

SCOTUS Nomination Odds: TBA


 

Current Supreme Court Justices

As of September 18, 2020, there are only eight Supreme Court justices  

  • John Roberts - Supreme Court Chief Justice; appointed by George W. Bush in 2005
  • Clarence Thomas – Associate Supreme Court Justice; appointed by George H. W. Bush in 1991
  • Stephen Breyer – Associate Supreme Court Justice; appointed by Bill Clinton in 1994
  • Samuel Alito – Associate Supreme Court Justice; appointed by George W. Bush in 2005
  • Sonia Sotomayor – Associate Supreme Court Justice; appointed by Barack Obama in 2009
  • Elena Kagan – Associate Supreme Court Justice; appointed by Barack Obama in 2010
  • Neil Gorsuch – Associate Supreme Court Justice; appointed by Donald Trump in 2017
  • Brett Kavanaugh – Associate Supreme Court Justice, appointed by Donald Trump in 2018

Update: The Senate confirmation of Judge Amy Coney Barrett, Trump's Supreme Court Justice nominee to replace RBG, is currently ongoing, though she is expected to be confirmed sometime in late October before the November Presidential election. 

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