State Electoral College Votes And Betting Odds For 2020
November 17 Update: While some battleground states are dealing with recounts and legal issues surrounding the handling of ballots, there are not really any new odds surfacing for the 2020 Presidential Election. There are, however, some lines available for the remaining Georgia Senate Runoff taking place in early January. Of course the earlier you place your bet, the bigger the payout, but you do have right up until the vote on Jan. 5th, 2021.
In the United States, the outcome of the Presidential Election is determined by which candidate meets the minimum threshold of 270 electoral votes and then wins the majority of these votes. It is possible for a Presidential candidate to win the popular vote but lose the Presidency due to the electoral vote distribution. Because of this constant intrigue, multiple legitimate offshore sportsbooks offer odds related to electoral votes by state.
In the US, each state is worth a specified number of votes in the Electoral College. Naturally, the states with larger numbers of electoral votes are the prized destinations that each candidate attempts to win over, though the biggest states are typical party stalwarts (i.e. CA always going Democrat while Texas always goes Republican).
Here we take a look at each state and which candidate they are currently leaning towards, and we will also discuss key swing states in the 2020 Presidential election, also known as battleground states, and provide some links to monitoring these states as the election progresses. You can visit our page about the Vegas odds for 2020 state primary elections for more information about betting on state primaries.
We also include information on where you can legally place bets on the current Electoral College odds. This information will be helpful to you should you decide to participate in the various state-related betting lines available at any legal online sportsbook offering political wagering.
Where To Bet - Sportsbooks Offering Odds On Who Will Win The Electoral College Vote For Each State
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Current 2020 Electoral Odds By State
The following odds are all from BetOnline, which currently has lines up for all 50 states in the 2020 Presidential election. You can get the best odds - and the best payouts! - by making your picks early. Check back here frequently, as every state's updated lines will be posted as soon as they are released.
Note: The odds right now presume that Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee and that Donald Trump will remain in office and be on the GOP general election ticket.
Electoral College Predictions For 2020 Presidential Election
The leanings of each individual state can fluctuate right up through Election Day. However, there are some instances where a candidate has established a safe state for their party by obtaining a majority of the support from that region.
Below is a listing of those states that are considered ‘safe’ for each candidate and can be reasonably predicted to vote in a specific direction. We have also listed the toss-up states that could go either direction.
States That Voted For Trump In 2016
Trump secured support in the following states. We’ve broken down the list into a few categories showing the overarching strength of Republican support, which should give bettors some insight into how these states will vote in 2020.
Solid Trump States – Solid Republican States
- Alabama - 9 electoral votes
- Arkansas - 6 electoral votes
- Idaho - 4 electoral votes
- Louisiana - 8 electoral votes
- Kentucky - 8 electoral votes
- Mississippi - 6 electoral votes
- Nebraska - 4 electoral votes
- North Dakota - 3 electoral votes
- Oklahoma - 7 electoral votes
- West Virginia - 5 electoral votes
- Wyoming - 3 electoral votes
States Likely To Vote Trump – States Likely To Vote Republican
- Alaska - 3 electoral votes
- Indiana - 11 electoral votes
- Kansas - 6 electoral votes
- Missouri - 10 electoral votes
- Montana - 3 electoral votes
- Nebraska - 1 electoral vote
- South Dakota - 3 electoral votes
- Tennessee - 11 electoral votes
- Texas - 38 electoral votes
- Utah - 6 electoral votes
States Leaning Trump – States Leaning Republican
- South Carolina with 9 electoral votes
States That Voted For Hillary In 2016
The following states were predicted to be in the Clinton camp for the 2016 Presidential election, which can indicate a tendency to vote Democrat in 2020. However, given Trump's polarizing nature and populist support, one or more of these DNC strongholds could teeter over to the other side come the November general.
Solid Democrat States
- California - 55 electoral votes
- DC - 3 electoral votes
- Hawaii - 4 electoral votes
- Massachusetts - 11 electoral votes
- Maryland - 10 electoral votes
- New York - 29 electoral votes
- Vermont - 3 electoral votes
States Likely To Vote Democrat
- Delaware - 3 electoral votes
- Illinois - 20 electoral votes
- New Jersey - 14 electoral votes
- Rhode Island - 4 electoral votes
- Washington State - 12 electoral votes
States Leaning Towards Voting Democrat
- Connecticut - 7 electoral votes
- Maine - 1 electoral vote
- Oregon - 7 electoral votes
- Minnesota - 10 electoral votes
- Wisconsin - 10 electoral votes
Toss Up States In The 2016 Presidential Election
These states were undecided before the 2016 election, with neither candidate securing the majority of support. Several of these states were considered swing states or battleground states, and both candidates campaigned heavily in them in the last days before the Big Vote. Below you will find information specifically discussing potential 2020 Presidential election swing states.
- Arizona - 11 electoral votes
- Colorado - 9 electoral votes
- Florida - 29 electoral votes
- Georgia - 16 electoral votes
- Iowa - 6 electoral votes
- Maine - 3 electoral votes
- Michigan - 16 electoral votes
- New Hampshire - 4 electoral votes
- New Mexico - 5 electoral votes
- Nevada - 6 electoral votes
- North Carolina - 15 electoral votes
- Ohio - 18 electoral votes
- Pennsylvania - 20 electoral votes
- Virginia - 13 electoral votes
What Are The Swing States For the 2020 Presidential Election?
Swing states, battleground states, and toss ups - Regardless of what we call them, they often determine the results of the Presidential election. No candidate or political party enjoys overwhelming support in these regions, and so they get a lot of attention as the general election nears.
11 regions have been designated as the 2020 swing states in the Presidential election, with three of these states considered to be ‘key’ battleground states. Securing support in these is critical for all Presidential candidates.
Swing states Florida and Ohio have determined the results of the race in recent election cycles, and they are always a crown jewel in the Electoral College process. Following is a list of the designated swing states for 2020, with the three key battleground states listed first.
You may notice that all of the swing states are also listed on the list of toss up states with the exception of Wisconsin. Wisconsin has recently been moved to ‘leaning Democrat’ status, but the Democrat lead there is not significant enough to remove the state from still being considered a swing state.
- New Hampshire
- North Carolina
Vegas Odds On State Electoral Votes
Betting on which direction a state will vote has become a part of the political betting lines available on the 2020 presidential election. Some sportsbooks provide odds on every single state, while others may only include toss up or swing states. This makes sense as there really isn’t much risk in predicting that a solid red or blue state will vote in their typical fashion.
Some of the state-related wagering options you’ll find at our recommended sportsbooks offering political betting lines are things like what percentage of total states will be won by each party, which candidate or party will receive the popular vote in a given state, and which candidate or party will receive the electoral vote in a given state.