State Electoral College Votes And Betting Odds For 2024
In the United States, the outcome of the Presidential Election is determined by which candidate meets the minimum threshold of 270 electoral votes. Because of the Electoral College, it's possible for a Presidential candidate to win the popular vote but lose the election due to the electoral vote distribution. Because of this constant intrigue, legal offshore sportsbooks offer odds related to electoral votes by state.
Here, we take a look at every US state and which candidate is leading in each. We also discuss key swing states for the 2024 Presidential election, aka "battleground states" or "purple states," as they usually get the most odds every cycle. Finally, we offer information on where you can legally place bets on the current Electoral College odds for 2024.
Because no US state offers legal domestic election betting (outside of the ballot box), your only options for betting on the Electoral College are through the reputable services listed here. (Remember to check out our page about the Vegas odds for 2024 state primary elections, too, since these will help inform your overall approach.)
Sportsbooks Offering Odds On Who Will Win The Electoral College Vote For Each State
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Current 2024 Electoral Odds By State
As of Q2 2021, there are no 2024 electoral odds for individual states posted at the top Vegas political betting sites, and it will be some time still before such odds become available. However, you can expect to see high-value lines posted for every state around the beginning of 2023, when the Democratic and Republican Presidential candidates are finally decided.
Electoral College Predictions For The 2024 Presidential Election
The leanings of each individual state can fluctuate right up through Election Day. However, there are some instances where a candidate has established a safe state for their party by obtaining a majority of the support from that region.
Of course, with changes in many states' voting laws and various voting irregularities ostensibly due to coronavirus mitigation efforts, 2020 didn't follow a reliable Red State-Blue State model (allegedly).
Once the smoke clears and the 2024 Presidential election gets closer, we'll be able to nail down state trends and will post them here to help you get an edge at the political betting boards.
States That Voted For Trump In 2020
- North Carolina
- North Dakota
- South Carolina
- South Dakota
- West Virginia
States That "Voted" For Biden In 2020
- Washington DC**
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New Mexico*
- New York
- Rhode Island
*Alleged election fraud flipped the vote in these states from Trump to Biden in the afterhours of November 3, 2020, while FOX News has been accused of preempting the vote in Arizona with unverifiable declarations of a Biden victory in the state.
**Not a state, but the Democrat-controlled congress is attempting to give DC statehood to claim two permanent leftist Senators in the US Senate
***Maine has two separate districts that vote independently in general Presidential elections.
What Are The Swing States For the 2024 Presidential Election?
Swing states, battleground states, and toss ups - Regardless of what we call them, they often determine the results of the Presidential election. No candidate or political party enjoys overwhelming support in these regions, and so they get a lot of attention as the general election nears.
Eleven regions were designated as swing states for the most recent Presidential election (2020). Three of these states were considered "key" battleground states, which are cited first in the list below:
- New Hampshire
- North Carolina
Vegas Odds On State Electoral Votes
In the US, each state is worth a specified number of votes in the Electoral College. Naturally, the states with larger numbers of electoral votes are the biggest prizes for each candidate, though the biggest states are typical party stalwarts (i.e. CA historically votes Democrat while Texas historically votes Republican).
Nevertheless, many states are always very close. Betting on which direction such a state will vote will be a major part of the political betting lines available for the 2024 Presidential election. Some sportsbooks will provide odds on every single state, while others may only include tossup states or swing states. This makes sense, as there really isn’t much risk in predicting that a solid red or solid blue state will vote in their typical fashion.
Some of the state-related wagering options you’ll find at our recommended sportsbooks offering political betting lines are things like the percentage of total states that will be won by each party, which candidate or party will win the popular vote in a given state, and which candidate or party will receive the electoral votes in a given state.