Odds Are In On How Long Trump Will Last

Currently, with the changing political climate anything can happen. If there’s anything this last election has taught me, it’s not to be surprised with anything anymore.  On January 11th, a British gambling company, Ladbrokes, broke even odds that trump will be impeached or resign before the end of his first term. By 5pm that same day the odds rose.

These aren’t the only bets that are being offered by the British company. In fact, they have created a special group called the “Donald Trump Specials”. These include a bet on whether he will be reelected in 2020 (currently the odds are 2-1) and if he will visit Russia by the end of his first year (those odds are 5-4). Another UK based gambling company, Paddy Power, even took bets whether he would split with his wife, Melania, this year or if he would paint the entire white house gold.

Players registered at Ladbrokes can also now wager on which year Trump will leave office and even if he will try and stay in power longer than the constitution allows. They even have sections where you can make bets based on the frequency that Trump uses certain phrases. They call it “Buzzword Bingo”. Phrases like “make America great again” were heavy favorites in the odds.

Ladbrokes took over a thousand bets over the course of a week on trumps impeachment alone. Betting on US politics last year was the second-largest market that Ladbroke’s took bets on, only beaten by England’s grand national horse race.

It might be a good time to place a bet on Trumps impeachment, according to American University political historian, Allan Lichtman. Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of every presidential race since 1984 including Trumps win in November. According to cbsnews.com who interviewed Mr. Lichtman, he expects trump to get “impeached because of his lack of public service experience, past legal battles and unpredictable nature.”

The constitution explicitly states “Treason, Bribery, or other High Crimes and Misdemeanors” are grounds for impeachment. It seems likely that through some channel Trump may even accidentally commit one of these crimes. Aside from the details in the leaked memo that everyone was talking about, Trump left business in the hands of his two sons, which is really not the same as placing your assets in a blind trust mind you, there is still some political leeway for from sketchy activity. What happens when foreign representatives stay at a Trump hotel? Well Trump himself as insisted that he will donate any and all of that money to the U.S treasury but under certain legal interpretations it can still be considered a bribe.

Whether Trump will be a terrible or wonderful president doesn’t seem to be ripe content for the election betting odds in Las Vegas just yet. People, so far are sticking to the topic of how long he will be able to hold office and what words he will use relatively in his speeches. Oh, and how long he will stay with his wife of course.

What The Vegas Odds Say About Potential Hillary Clinton Indictment

Indictment Of Hillary Clinton

It is likely that everyone would agree that it is a sad day when we find odds being posted about the corruption of our nation’s government and its leaders. It is even sadder when it no longer surprises us, and the term corrupt becomes synonymous with our political leaders. This is precisely what is transpiring in America today, with a presidential race that has clearly gotten out of control. Due to the fact that this election has had every grueling detail closely followed on the world stage, more of the voting public has participated in the unfolding of the 2016 US presidential race than ever before.

The gambling entertainment industry is not about to pass up an opportunity to satisfy an American voter base that is looking to place bets on the outcome of the election and all the drama that goes with it. When we say drama here, we are referring to the ongoing FBI investigation into Hillary Clinton’s emails and the Clinton Foundation. While the Vegas election odds on who will win the presidency do not include the indictment predictions in any of the betting lines at this time, the odds are still presented if you’re willing to look closely, and considerately read between the lines.

No, we can’t show you a singular betting line with specific odds on the likelihood of a Hillary Clinton indictment, but we can show you how the Vegas presidential betting odds are indirectly addressing the concept. It is obvious really, and boils down to a simplistic interpretation of the strength of Clinton’s lead as the frontrunner.

This shift in the presidential betting odds that took place following the FBI’s announcement that they were reopening the case indicates that the oddsmakers are convinced that the FBI investigation will affect the results somewhat. The shift was noticeable, but not significant enough to derail Clinton’s position as the frontrunner. In fact, despite all these FBI, email and charitable foundation scandals surfacing, Clinton still remains the favorite to win the presidency, just by a smaller lead at this point.

Based on the fact that her lead in the spread between herself and Trump did diminish somewhat following the FBI’s announcement, we would have to conclude that the sportsbooks that offer political betting odds do see the indictment as a possibility that will affect the level of support she ends up with at the end of the day. However, the fact that HRC is still the favorite to win the 2016 Presidential Election, reveals that the oddsmakers also feel that the possibility of indictment is not a deal breaker for her, and that it is not enough of an issue to significantly threaten her position as the frontrunner.

As you can see, the Vegas presidential odds do actually present the opinion of the oddsmakers regarding the likelihood of indictment without actually saying it out loud. We would not be surprised to see odds for a Clinton indictment emerge as a prop bet, though this may not actually occur until after the election. With FBI sources openly admitting that they may expect interference from the Department of Justice concerning the potential indictment, it is possible that the whole matter will still get swept under the carpet and become a moot point. If things were to play out this way, then we will not likely see any posted odds on the possibility of charges being brought against the former Secretary of State.