Dem Bones: Kamala Harris Betting Odds Paint Dire Picture

kamala harris mad

There’s not been much movement on the odds boards since DJT took over the top spot from Basement Joe, and the international election market is in a bit of a lull of late as we enter into a bit of dead zone.

Still, of course, there’s plenty to digest regardless of the political futures odds and political props available at the top Vegas election betting websites.

Most of these, taken on their own, paint a complete picture.

However, sometimes you need to asses a set of odds to get the full story.

Today, we’re discussing one such set, and it has to do with “Vice President” Kamala Harris.

Kamala Harris 2024 Betting Odds

Via BetOnline Sportsbook

Odds To Win The 2024 Presidential Election

  • Donald Trump +275    
  • Joe Biden +325 
  • Kamala Harris +500   
  • Ron DeSantis +1050   
  • Pete Buttigieg +1600 
  • Nikki Haley +1750    
  • Mike Pence +2000
  • Elizabeth Warren +2500    
  • Tucker Carlson +3300 
  • Andrew Yang +4000    
  • + More

For all intents and purposes, Harris is trending second behind President Donald Trump to win the 2024 Presidential election.

Nobody expects Biden to survive long enough to pilot (or even be passenger on) a campaign two years in the offing, and there’s no other credible (albeit we hesitate to use that term) candidate on the Democrat side.

Be sure to view the following set of odds in this context and the picture will become clearer.  

Democratic Nominee for the 2024 Election

  • Joe Biden +130 
  • Kamala Harris +160   
  • Pete Buttigieg +500  
  • Elisabeth Warren +1250    
  • Amy Klobuchar +2000  
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +3300  
  • Gretchen Whitmer +3300    
  • Michelle Obama +3300 
  • Bernie Sanders +4000 
  • Beto O’Rourke +4000  
  • + More

Here, Harris is much closer to Biden.

These odds give her very nearly a 50-50 shot to get the party nomination, while the odds above show that – should she get it – the gap between the enthusiasm (or expectation) among bettors for Trump over Harris is much greater than that for Trump vs. Biden.

Again, if Harris is the best that the left can do – knowing full well that Biden, enjoying the lowest Presidential approval rating in modern times, cannot possibly be reelected – then the Democrats are in a heap of trouble for 2024.  

Will there be a female President in 2024?

  • No -220
  • Yes +160

Here’s where the rubber really hits the road.

In the two lines above this one, Harris is effectively the favorite to win the DNC nomination.

Interestingly, these particular odds align totally with her odds to win the party nod (+160), but they don’t align whatsoever with her odds to actually become POTUS.

Because this line is about a female President taking office in 2024 – and because Harris is the only credible (again, we hesitate to use the term) female candidate that has emerged to date on either side of the aisle – Harris’ chances to win the presidency are very low.

With this line, the delta is 380 points.

Per the overall Presidential election odds, however, the delta (between Harris and Trump) is just 225 points.

Bettors, clearly, should take the bigger payout.

If you believe a woman will be elected to the office of the President in 2024, you likely believe that Harris will be that woman. The above payout at +500 is much, much better than this payout at +160.

If you don’t think Harris will take the White House, of course, these odds pay out reasonably well, but you’d be far better off financially betting on Trump overall at +275.

You could even hedge by putting the same money on Trump and Ron DeSantis (+1050) and still come out on top.

Harris is simply a bad pick, for President and for your bottom line.  

Year That Kamala Harris Becomes President

  • Not Before 2026 -200 
  • 2022 +450 
  • 2025 +650 
  • 2023 +800 
  • 2021 +900 
  • 2024 +1500

This line is similar to that listed below in our twice-a-week Biden health checkup.

However, the payouts are a bit better on most selections here.

If you think Slow Joe will grind to a halt before his term officially ends, Harris is up next.

That’s the simple reality per the Presidential line of succession, so if you’re considering putting money on Biden’s exit year, you should interpret that line’s outcome as functionally identical to the outcome here and take the better payout.

2021 Joe Biden Presidential Mental Fitness Test Update

Will Joe Biden finish his first term as President?

  • Yes -175 (-175)
  • No +135 (+135)

What year will Joe Biden exit office?

  • 2025 -120 (-120)
  • Not Before 2026 +400 (+400)
  • 2022 +450 (+450)
  • 2023 +750 (+750)
  • 2021 +900 (+900)
  • 2024 +1400 (+1400)

Will Joe Biden be impeached and removed from office?

  • No -1250 (-1250)
  • Yes +575 (+575)

Joe Biden Approval Rating By November 1, 2021

  • Over 43.5% -120 (43.5% -120)
  • Under 43.5% -120 (43.5% -120)