At BetOnline, President Donald Trump has been favored to win his third election for a few weeks now.
Meanwhile, Bovada had posted Trump beneath both “current” President Joe Biden and VP Kamala Harris ever since the latter pair’s “administration” hit the ground falling back in January.
But bettors are finally seeing the light: Trump’s finally atop the Bovada odds boards now, too.
Of course, at MyBookie, the bettors see things quite a lot differently. As ever, MyBookie is the ultimate line shopper’s paradise, provided they actually have odds on the Vegas political futures and Vegas election props you want.
Today, we’re going to break down the most important bet of your lifetime (and a few ancillary wagers related thereto), as available at three biggest Vegas election betting sites.
2024 Presidential Election – GOP Candidate
Via Bovada, BetOnline
- Donald Trump +125, +100
- Ron DeSantis +300, +500
- Nikki Haley +800, +850
- Mike Pompeo +1200, +2800
- Kristi Noem +1400, +2500
- Mike Pence +1400, +1200
- Donald Trump Jr. +2000, +5000
- Josh Hawley +2000, +3300
- Ted Cruz +2200, +2500
- Candace Owens +2500, +6600
- + More
US Presidential Election 2024 – Winning Party
Via Bovada, BetOnline
- Democratic -150, -110
- Republican +110, -110
- Any Other +1200, +2000
2024 Presidential Election – Winner
Via Bovada, BetOnline, MyBookie
- Donald Trump +400, +275, +500
- Kamala Harris +400, +500, +400
- Joe Biden +450, +325, +350
- Ron DeSantis +750, +1050, +900
- Nikki Haley +2000, +1750, +1200
- Mike Pence +2500, +2000, +1600
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +3000, +6600, +1600
- Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson +3300, +6000, +3000
- Michelle Obama +3300, +6500, +3000
- Cory Booker +4000, +6600, +4000
- + More
Will Donald Trump be elected US President in 2024?
- No -1300
- Yes +700
Naturally, for line shoppers, it’s extremely important to get the most bang for your buck.
Since each of these sportsbooks share similar betting limits for political wagers, your payout potential for each selection should be determined by the odds themselves and not the limits available at each site.
In other words, these are all basically 1:1:1 across the board(s).
By our reckoning, if the election were to be held today – with the full and total acknowledgement that anything can happen between now and 2024 – there are only three real players involved: The Donald, The Ronald, and the (expletive deleted).
If you’re bullish on Trump’s chances for 2024, then, the place to wager on the GOP primary is Bovada, where Trump is trending at +125.
But if you think Trump’s also going to win the general, you’ll actually want to bet at MyBookie, where his odds are +500. That’s by far the best payout you’d get taking the GOAT at any of the three books listed here.
Curiously, at MyBookie, they’ve also got that last line posted above. On their main POTUS odds board, Trump has +500 odds to win, but on the specific prop asking the specific question, his odds are +700.
This makes little sense, but this is actually the line you should go on. Trump at +700 to win in 2024 is the best payout you’re going to get.
If you instead think that the Democrats will be able to pull off another steal and will go all in on VP Harris (Biden can’t possibly “win” in 2024, because reasons), then BetOnline is your huckleberry.
(Remember, “huckleberry” is an old colloquialism for “hucklebearer,” which is itself an old colloquialism for pall-bearer. Make of the analogy what you will. – Ed.)
At BetOnline, Harris’ chances are +500, while they’re +400 at both Bovada and MyBookie.
Of course, this is yet another line with a peculiar conflict compared against another relevant prop.
Even as Trump is tied with Harris at Bovada (+400) and is strongly favored at BetOnline (+275 to +500), the election victor by party prop favors the left at Bovada 40 points (-150 to -110) and has the Democrats and Republicans in a dead heat at BetOnline (-110 to -110).
Presumably, this is due to the fact that Biden could eke out a win if he’s still eking out a breath.
Still, given the direction of the country, DeSantis seems a more likely victor than Basement Joe, which ought to give the GOP the edge.
Make of that weirdness as you will.
2021 Joe Biden Presidential Mental Fitness Test Update
Will Joe Biden finish his first term as President?
- Yes -175 (-175)
- No +135 (+135)
No. Why this is the most stagnant line on the boards is anyone’s guess, but take the free cash.
What year will Joe Biden exit office?
- 2025 -140 (-120)
- Not Before 2026 +375 (+400)
- 2022 +450 (+450)
- 2023 +700 (+750)
- 2024 +1400 (+1400)
- 2021 +1500 (+900)
Over the weekend, a rash of bettors suddenly decided that Biden can ride this thing all the way out.
We don’t understand the sudden change of heart, but the boards reflect the money, and the money says more people than ever think Biden can survive into January 2025 with his office (albeit clearly not his dignity) intact.
Will Joe Biden be impeached and removed from office?
- No -1250 (-1250)
- Yes +575 (+575)
This will never, ever happen. It’s equal parts baffling and amazing that any sportsbook still has this line posted, because it’s literally free money.
You may have to wait a bit for your payout, but if you’re in it for the long haul, take the lagniappe.
Joe Biden Approval Rating By November 1, 2021
- Over 44% -120 (43.5% -120)
- Under 44% -120 (43.5% -120)
Biden’s current approval rating at the time of this writing – per the bet’s source (FiveThirtyEight) is 44.8%.
They’re cooking the books there, of course, so take the over.