It may have taken a week (or as near as damn it) for the betting lines to move appreciably in wake of the Tuesday Democrat Debacle™, but the new Vegas political odds have shifted bigly across the board in favor of the GOP.
Indeed, just about every race of import has seen a yuge swing toward Republicans.
Of course, we’re still a year away from the 2022 Midterm elections, so anything can happen between now and then to right the ship for the left.
However, the fundamental issues leading to the current “Red Wave” aren’t so easy to reverse. Supply chain bottlenecks – which His Fraudulency Joe Biden says the average American is too stupid to understand – are only getting worse, while prices at the pump keep pumping. Meanwhile, your favorite restaurants are slowly going out of business, and the crime in your neighborhood is at record levels.
The flood gates are easy to open, but they’re a lot harder to close.
2022 is probably going to be a bloodbath at the polls.
And savvy bettors get the picture.
Here are all the main lines of interest that have seen significant changes over the last 5-6 days, including some brand new ones that reflect renewed enthusiasm re President Donald Trump’s chances to win in 2024:
2022 And 2024 US Election Odds
2022 US Gubernatorial Election Odds
2022 Arizona Governor Election – Winning Party
- Republicans -300 (-300)
- Democrats +200 (+200)
2022 Georgia Governor Election – Winning Party
- Republicans -150 (-150)
- Democrats +110 (+110)
2022 New York Governor Election – Winning Party
- Democrats -10000 (-10000)
- Republican +1500 (+1500)
2022 Pennsylvania Governor Election – Winning Party
- Democrats -165 (-165)
- Republicans +125 (+125)
2022 Wisconsin Governor Election – Winning Party
- Republicans -180 (-180)
- Democrats +140 (+140)
2022 US House Election Odds
2022 US House Of Representatives Odds – Controlling Party
- Republicans -700 (-300)
- Democrats +400 (+200)
While the above gubernatorial elections haven’t budged since their initial movements post-Tuesday, the overall winning party line for the entire House of Representatives has, and with vigor.
No individual 2022 US House election odds have been posted at any major online political sportsbook just yet, but we expect there’ll be a lot of action once the close races are listed.
We also suspect a lot more races than usual will draw betting interest this cycle.
2022 US Senate Election Odds
2022 US Senate Elections – Controlling Party
- Republicans -200 (-140)
- Democrats +150 (+100)
2022 Arizona Senate Election Odds
- Democrats -165 (-180)
- Republicans +125 (+140)
2022 Florida Senate Election Odds
- Republicans -500 (-350)
- Democrats +300 (+225)
2022 Georgia Senate Election Odds
- Republicans -180 (+100)
- Democrats +140 (-140)
2022 Nevada Senate Election Odds
- Democrats -150 (-170)
- Republicans +110 (+130)
2022 New Hampshire Senate Election Odds
- Republicans -130 (-130)
- Democrats -110 (-110)
2022 North Carolina Senate Election Odds
- Republicans -450 (-350)
- Democrats +275 (+225)
2022 Ohio Senate Election Odds
- Republicans -1100 (-800)
- Democrats +650 (+450)
2022 Pennsylvania Senate Election Odds
- Democrats -165 (-180)
- Republicans +125 (+140)
2022 Wisconsin Senate Election Odds
- Republicans -180 (-135)
- Democrats +140 (105)
As you can see, in every 2022 US Senate race featured above (save for New Hampshire’s), the GOP has substantially gained on the Democrats.
In states where Republicans were already favored, they’re favored even more strongly, and in states where they were trailing, they’ve closed the gap.
2024 Presidential Election – Winner
- Donald Trump +250 (+350)
- Joe Biden +400 (+450)
- Kamala Harris +600 (+400)
- Ron DeSantis +800 (+750)
- Pete Buttigieg +1400 (N/A)
- Nikki Haley +1800 (+2000)
- Elizabeth Warren +2000 (N/A)
- Mike Pence +2500 (+2500)
- Tucker Carlson +2800 (N/A)
- Amy Klobuchar +3300 (N/A)
- + More
The Presidential candidates listed above as “N/A” in terms of their prior odds were on the main boards, but they were not in the top 10.
All such candidates have risen dramatically in the past week, while the following have fallen out of the top 10: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson, Michelle Obama, and Cory Booker.
2024 Presidential Matchups
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
- Donald Trump -130
- Joe Biden -110
New line. Trump vs. Biden straight-up favors The GOAT vs. The Imposter by 20 points, and that’s a pretty solid payout considering the actual delta of enthusiasm between the two.
Of course, this assumes that honest, fair elections will be held in all swing states.
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
- Kamala Harris -120
- Ron DeSantis -120
New line. This is an interesting one, as there’s no real establishment backing for Harris vs. DeSantis. The odds here must assume the Democrat Cheat Machine™ will be working at full capacity.
Andrew Yang vs. Ron DeSantis
- Andrew Yang -130
- Ron DeSantis -110
New line. Absolutely the stupidest matchup – and the most baffling odds – we’ve seen in some time.
Andrew Yang can’t win any election, much less a Presidential one.
Much less a Presidential one running on the concept of a UBI given how the comparatively meager COVID handouts have decimated the American workforce and crippled the US economy.
Much less all of that against a rockstar like The Ronald.
2024 Presidential Election – Winning Party
- Republicans -150 (+120)
- Democrats +110 (-160)
- Any Other Party +2500 (+1100)
This is a massive swing and is perhaps the biggest evidence of shifting attitudes in the public at large.
2021 Joe Biden Presidential Mental Fitness Test Update
Will Joe Biden finish his first term as President?
- Yes -165 (-175)
- No +125(+135)
This line is no longer stagnant, but the favored outcome is still utterly disconnected from all reality.
What year will Joe Biden exit office?
- 2025 -160 (-140)
- 2022 +400 (+450)
- Not Before 2026 +425 (+375)
- 2023 +550 (+700)
- 2024 +1400 (+1400)
- 2021 +2000 (+1500)
Interesting shifts here, but they don’t make a tremendous amount of sense. Especially the line on 2025.
Will Joe Biden be impeached and removed from office?
- No -700 (-1250)
- Yes +400 (+575)
Huge shifts here, but senseless ones. Biden will not be impeached or removed.
That said, the change in these odds aren’t about what happened in Virginia, they’re about what happened at Project Veritas over the last few days.
If there’s any truth to – or validation of – the contents within Ashley Biden’s “leaked” diary, Pedo Joe would have to be impeached, removed from office, and imprisoned for the rest of his miserable life.
Joe Biden Approval Rating By December 1, 2021
- Over 41.5% (-120)
- Under 41.4% (-120)
Basement Joe’s current aggregate approval rating at FiveThirtyEight is 42.5%.
But many analysts consider him to be at his performative apex since the House passed his commie “infrastructure” bill last week, so take the under.
Especially considering possible developments re the above.