It has been a full week since the first Democratic debate in Miami, Florida. Here’s what has changed within that time.
Before the first night of the debate on June 26, Donald Trump topped the Bovada odds for the 2020 Presidential election at +100.
Former Vice President Joe Biden was next at +425, followed by Mayor Pete Buttigieg (+750), Sen. Bernie Sanders (+1000), Sen. Elizabeth Warren (+1000), and Sen. Kamala Harris (+1300).
One week later, the odds have shifted.
While Trump still sits at even odds, Harris is the Democrat most likely to win the 2020 election with +500 odds.
Following her segregated busing questions for former frontrunner Biden, who now sits at +550, Harris surged in popularity.
Warren (+750), Sanders (+1000), and Buttigieg (+1000) still hold similar positions and odds.
Quinnipiac University’s most recent poll shares similar positioning with the odds.
Still showing Biden on top at 22%, Harris is closing the gap with 20%. Quinnipiac also has Warren at 14%, Sanders at 13%, Buttigieg at 4%, and Booker at 3%.
In their June survey, Quinnipiac showed Biden at 30% with Harris in fifth with 7%.
Democratic voters are also losing faith in Biden’s chances of winning the general election, according to YouGov’s poll for the Huffington Post.
The second quarter also ended days after the first debate with a few Democrats releasing their fundraising numbers before the July 15 deadline.
Biden, despite diminishing numbers after the first debate, raised $21.5 million since his campaign announcement in late-April.
So far, Buttigieg has disclosed the highest numbers with a substantial $24.8 million raised between April and June.
Sanders matched his first quarter numbers with another $18 million in the second quarter.
Trump, on the other hand, raised $105 million in the second quarter with the help of the Republican party.
The second Democratic debate takes place on July 30-31 in Detroit, Michigan. Given the shake-up following the first debate in June, expect to see a shift in numbers beginning in August.
Current 2020 Presidential Election Odds @ Bovada
- Donald Trump +100
- Kamala Harris +500
- Joe Biden +550
- Elizabeth Warren +750
- Bernie Sanders +1000
- Pete Buttigieg +1000
- Andrew Yang +2000
- Beto O’Rourke +3500
- Tulsi Gabbard +4000
- Amy Klobuchar +7000
- Cory Booker +7000