We’re three months away from the 2022 Midterm elections, and as you might expect, that means the best Vegas election betting sites are starting to ramp up their offerings.
Of course, some are populating their political gambling menus faster and more completely than others right now, with BetOnline Sportsbook having the most current political prop bets and political futures odds to choose from.
That said, it’s only a matter of time before Bovada and MyBookie hop back on the politics betting bandwagon and offer a robust selection of their own election fare.
Regardless, given the current political temperature in America – which, according to the greenies out there, no doubt mirrors this year’s annual Hottest Summer on Record™ – there’s plenty to either look forward to or utterly dread. It all depends on your point of view.
But your POV notwithstanding, betting can lighten the mood a bit, because the activity isn’t about who you want to win, it’s who you think will win.
This, by itself, makes US politics almost bearable again.
Almost.
Current US Political Odds
2022 US House of Representatives Odds
Arizona-02 Republican Primary
- Eli Crane -800
- Walter Blackman +425
Arizona-06 Democrat Primary
- Daniel Hernandez Jr. -120
- Kirsten Engel -120
Arizona-06 Republican Primary
- Juan Ciscomani -2500
- Kathleen Winn +800
Michigan-03 Republican Primary
- John Gibbs -450
- Peter Meijer +275
Michigan-13 Democrat Primary
- Adam Hollier -275
- Shri Thanedar +200
- Portia Roberson +800
- Sharon McPhail +3000
Missouri-01 Democrat Primary
- Cori Bush -4000
- Steve Roberts +1000
Missouri-04 Republican Primary
- Mark Alford -550
- Rick Brattin +400
- Taylor Burks +700
- Kalena Bruce +2800
Missouri-07 Republican Primary
- Eric Burlison -800
- Jay Wasson +425
Tennessee-05 Republican Primary
- Andy Ogles -200
- Kurt Winstead +200
- Beth Harwell +450
- Robby Starbuck +4000
Alaska-AL Special Election
- Sarah Palin -200
- Nick Begich III +175
- Mary Peltola +875
Who will control the House in 2022?
- Republicans -600
- Democrats +350
2022 US Senate Elections Odds
2022 Missouri Democrat Primary
- Trudy Valentine -500
- Lucas Kunce +300
2022 Missouri Republican Primary
- Eric Schmitt -1500
- Eric Greitens +700
- Vicky Hartzler +2200
Ron Johnson to be re-elected in Wisconsin?
- Yes -225
- No +160
2022 Wisconsin Republican Primary
- Tim Michels -200
- Rebecca Kleefisch +150
Lisa Murkowski to be re-elected in Alaska?
- Yes -400
- No +250
2022 Arizona Republican Primary
- Blake Masters -5000
- Jim Lamon +1200
- Mark Brnovich +6500
- Justin Olson +25000
- Michael McGuire +25000
2022 Florida Senate Race
- Republicans -2500
- Democrats +800
2022 New Hampshire Senate Race
- Democrats -250
- Republicans +170
2022 Wisconsin Senate Race
- Republicans -230
- Democrats +160
2022 Arizona Senate Race
- Democrats -150
- Republicans +110
2022 Colorado Senate Race
- Michael Bennet (D) -1000
- Joe O’Dea (R) +550
2022 Iowa Senate Race
- Chuck Grassley (R) -5000
- Michael Franken (D) +1200
2022 Nevada Senate Race
- Adam Laxalt (R) -130
- Catherine Cortez Masto (D) -110
2022 Georgia Senate Race
- Raphael Warnock (D) -180
- Herschel Walker (R) +140
2022 North Carolina Senate Race
- Ted Budd (R) -700
- Cheri Beasley (D) +400
2022 Ohio Senate Race
- J.D. Vance (R) -350
- Tim Ryan (D) +225
2022 Pennsylvania Senate Race
- John Fetterman (D) -300
- Mehmet Oz (R) +200
2022 US Senate Elections – Majority Party
- Republicans -140
- Democrats +100
2022 US Governor Odds
2022 Arizona Governor Race
- Republicans -130
- Democrats -110
2022 Wisconsin Governor Race
- Democrats -180
- Republicans +140
2022 Georgia Governor Race
- Brian Kemp (R) -500
- Stacey Abrams (D) +300
2022 Kansas Governor Race
- Derek Schmidt (R) -165
- Laura Kelly (D) +125
2022 Maine Governor Race
- Janet Mills (D) -400
- Paul LePage (R) +250
2022 Nevada Governor Race
- Steve Sisolak (D) -135
- Joe Lombardo (R) -105
2022 New York Governor Race
- Kathy Hochul (D) -5000
- 75127 Lee Zeldin (R) +1200
2022 Texas Governor Race
- Greg Abbott (R) -900
- Beto O’Rourke (D) +500
2022 Pennsylvania Governor Race
- Josh Shapiro (D) -500
- Doug Mastriano (R) +300
2022 Michigan Governor Race
- Democrats -500
- Republicans +300
2022 Michigan Governor Race – Republican Primary
- Tudor Dixon -5000
- Kevin Rinke +1400
- Ryan Kelley +5000
- Garrett Soldano +10000
- James Craig +10000
2022 Arizona Governor Race – Republican Primary
- Kari Lake -600
- Karrin Robson +350
2022 Donald Trump Odds
Total Characters in First Tweet After Return?
- Over 22.5 characters -120
- Under 22.5 characters -120
Joint Vaccine Statement With Biden?
- Yes +3300
Officially Launch 2024 Campaign?
- Yes -140
- No +100
Public Meeting With Xi Jinping?
- Yes +2000
To Be Indicted?
- No -275
- Yes +185
To File For Bankruptcy
- Yes +1200
To Get Divorced?
- Yes +2000
To Visit China?
- Yes +1000
To Visit Russia?
- Yes +1000
To Be Elected at Mid-Terms?
- Yes +2000
Hillary Clinton Odds
Hillary Clinton To Endorse Non-Biden Democrat?
- No -1000
- Yes +550
Hillary Clinton To be Indicted?
- No -10000
- Yes +2000
Hillary Clinton To Run in 2024?
- No -600
- Yes +350
Trump v Clinton in 2024?
- No -90000
- Yes +4250
US Political Specials
Dr. Oz for US Senate?
- No -300
- Yes +200
Trump to become Speaker?
- Yes +1800
Female President in 2024?
- No -600
- Yes +350
Trump v Biden in 2024?
- No -950
- Yes +525
Steve Bannon to be Trump Campaign Manager?
- No -10000
- Yes +2000
Beto O’Rourke for Texas Governor?
- No -900
- Yes +500
Greg Abbott Re-Elected in Texas?
- Yes -900
- No +500
Herschel Walker to Win Georgia Senate Race?
- No -180
- Yes +140
Howard Stern to Run for US President in 2024?
- No -700
- Yes +400
Any Trump to win in 2024?
- No -450
- Yes +275
Now, we don’t have much of an opinion about most of the above elections. This is a gambit to preserve what little remains of our sanity.
That said, we do have some thoughts on the 2024 Presidential race:
2024 US Presidential Election Odds
Republican Nominee for the 2024 Election
- Ron DeSantis +125
- Donald Trump Sr. +130
- Mike Pence +1100
- Nikki Haley +2200
- Mike Pompeo +2500
- Tom Cotton +3000
- Josh Hawley +4000
- Kristi Noem +4000
- Ted Cruz +4000
- Tim Scott +4000
- Mitt Romney +5000
- Tucker Carlson +5000
- Glenn Youngkin +7000
- Ben Carson +8000
- Donald Trump Jr. +8000
- + More
The Ronald has overtaken The Donald at the sportsbooks for the first time. This is in stark contrast to all the most recent polling, which still has Trump as the first choice for most voters.
For his part, DeSantis is in an interesting position. There is a time limit – and a rather short one, at that – on one’s political capital when it comes to the presidency. That is, if you don’t strike while the iron’s hot, you might not have another chance. Case in point: Ted Cruz circa last decade.
But because he’s the current governor of Florida, DeSantis’ massive popularity might actually be something of a speed bump here. There’s no doubt that conservatives across America view DeSantis is the heir apparent, but they still want Trump. Trump was unjustly denied his second term, and the revenge factor among his supporters is very real. But more than that, Trump remains the most popular politician in the country – and arguably the world.
If DeSantis runs for President in 2024, he will do so only if Trump decides to bow out and sit behind the scenes as kingmaker. If Trump runs, Trump gets the nomination. DeSantis will not run against Trump under any circumstances. It’s that simple.
Meanwhile, let’s say DeSantis sits this one out.
He’ll win his second term as Florida Governor in 2022 and be out of politics for two years by the time 2028 rolls around. The drop-off in national attention and big, bold, headline-grabbing politics during this lull would be enough to let another contender take up the mantle of MAGA’s next bigshot.
The best strategy here is for DeSantis to be reelected as Governor of Florida, hand off the governorship to the Lieutenant Governor in 2024, and run for Vice President on a blockbuster Trump-DeSantis ticket. After election, DeSantis would handle a significant portion of the front-facing press stuff on behalf of the GOAT as the latter trains him on how to deal with a radically hostile national press. Finally, by 2028, DeSantis would take over as the natural standard-bearer for the GOP.
Easy peasy.
Democratic Nominee for the 2024 Election
- Joe Biden +175
- Kamala Harris +270
- Gavin Newsom +400
- Elisabeth Warren +1200
- Michelle Obama +1600
- Pete Buttigieg +1600
- Amy Klobuchar +1800
- Hillary Clinton +1800
- J.B. Pritzker +3000
- Gretchen Whitmer +3300
- Cory Booker +4000
- Michael Bloomberg +5000
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +6000
- Bernie Sanders +6600
- Tom Wolf +6600
- + More
None of the above.
It’s our opinion that the Democrat Presidential nominee for 2024 is not yet on anyone’s radar. At least, not seriously. Somebody like Mark Cuban seems like a solid choice. Not that it’ll matter.
2024 Presidential Election Winning Party
- Republicans -150
- Democrats +110
- Any Other Party +3300
GOP.
Odds to Win the 2024 Presidential Election
- Donald Trump Sr. +300
- Ron DeSantis +300
- Joe Biden +525
- Gavin Newsom +1000
- Kamala Harris +1100
- Mike Pence +2000
- Michelle Obama +2500
- Elizabeth Warren +3000
- Nikki Haley +3300
- Dwayne Johnson +4000
- Mike Pompeo +4000
- Pete Buttigieg +4000
- Amy Klobuchar +4500
- Hillary Clinton +4500
- Tom Cotton +5000
- + More
Yes.
2024 US Presidential Election Props
To Progress Further: Trump v Pence
- Donald Trump Sr. -300
- Mike Pence +200
Trump.
To Progress Further: Buttigieg v Warren
- Elizabeth Warren -140
- Pete Buttigieg +100
Boot Edge Edge.
To Progress Further: DeSantis v Harris
- Ron DeSantis -280
- Kamala Harris +190
DeSantis.
To Progress Further: Haley v Warren
- Elizabeth Warren -165
- Nikki Haley +125
Haley.
To Progress Further: Sanders v Cruz
- Ted Cruz -150
- Bernie Sanders +110
Sanders, actually.
To Progress Further: Trump v Biden
- Donald Trump Sr. -250
- Joe Biden +170
Trump.
To Progress Further: Trump v Harris
- Donald Trump Sr. -180
- Kamala Harris +140
Trump.
To Progress Further: DeSantis v Yang
- Ron DeSantis -300
- Andrew Yang +200
DeSantis, Moderate Party™ notwithstanding.
2024 Party Leader Double
- DeSantis v Biden +500
- Trump Sr. v Biden +525
- DeSantis v Harris +725
- Trump Sr. v Harris +750
- DeSantis v Warren +2800
- Trump Sr. v Warren +2850
- Pence v Biden +3000
- DeSantis v Buttigieg +3600
- Trump Sr. v Buttigieg +3750
- DeSantis v Klobuchar +4000
- Pence v Harris +4250
- Trump Sr. v Klobuchar +4250
- Haley v Biden +6000
- Haley v Harris +8000
- Carlson v Biden +13750
- Pence v Warren +15500
- Carlson v Harris +18500
- Pence v Buttigieg +20000
- Pence v Klobuchar +22500
- Haley v Warren +29500
- Haley v Buttigieg +38500
- Haley v Klobuchar +43500
- Carlson v Warren +66000
- Carlson v Buttigieg +85000
- Carlson v Klobuchar +96500
None of the above. It’ll be Trump vs. somebody, but the eventual Democrat candidate isn’t on the board yet.
2022 Joe Biden Presidential Mental Fitness Test Update
Will Biden Complete Full First Term?
- Yes -275
- No +185
No.
Joe Biden Exit Date
- 2025 -250
- Not Before 2026 +535
- 2022 +650
- 2023 +700
- 2024 +700
2023.
Biden to Win Second Term?
- No -950
- Yes +525
No.
Biden Approval on September 1
- 39.00-39.99% +300
- 40.00-40.99% +300
- 38.00-38.99% +350
- 41.00-41.99% +425
- Under 38% +600
- 42.00-42.99% +1000
- 43% or Higher +1600
LOL.
Year That Kamala Harris Becomes President
- Not Before 2026 -425
- 2022 +725
- 2023 +725
- 2024 +725
- 2025 +1100
2023. Sigh.
